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Almanac Sees 'Numb' Winter

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The Associated Press

Published: August 25, 2008

LEWISTON, Maine - People worried about the high cost of keeping warm this winter will draw little comfort from the Farmers' Almanac, which predicts below-average temperatures for most of the United States.

"Numb's the word," says the 192-year-old publication, which claims an accuracy rate of 80 percent to 85 percent for its forecasts, which are prepared two years in advance.

The almanac's 2009 edition, which goes on sale Tuesday, says at least two-thirds of the country can expect colder-than-average temperatures this winter. Only the Far West and Southeast are in line for near-normal readings.

"This is going to be catastrophic for millions of people," almanac editor Peter Geiger said.

The almanac predicts above-normal snowfall for the Great Lakes and Midwest, especially during January and February, and above-normal precipitation for the Southwest in December and for Southeast in January and February.

The Northeast and Mid-Atlantic regions will have an unusually wet or snowy February, the almanac said.

In contrast, the usually wet Pacific Northwest could be a bit drier than normal in February.

Looking ahead to summer, the almanac foresees near-normal temperatures in most places. However, much of the Southwest should prepare for unusually hot weather in June and July, while Florida, Georgia and the Carolinas will get oppressive heat and humidity in July.

The almanac - not to be confused with the New Hampshire-based Old Farmer's Almanac which is 26 years older - attributes its forecasts to reclusive prognosticator Caleb Weatherbee, who uses a secret formula based on sunspots, the position of the planets and the tidal action of the moon.

The almanac is at odds with the National Weather Service, whose trends-based outlook calls for warmer than normal weather this winter over much of the country, including Alaska, said Ed O'Lenic, chief of the operations branch at NOAA's Climate Prediction Center.

But the almanac and weather service are in sync in pointing to a chance of a drier winter in the Northwest.

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