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Published: January 9, 2008
LOS ANGELES - Shares of Countrywide Financial Corp., the nation's largest mortgage lender, sank to an all-time low Tuesday as a major home builder offered a grim outlook for the industry and amid signals that the Bush administration is growing more concerned about rising mortgage defaults.
The head of California-based KB Home reported a mammoth loss for the fourth quarter and said there are no indications that housing markets are stabilizing. The head of Fannie Mae, a government-sponsored mortgage lender, predicted the housing market would weaken through 2009 and said a turnaround is not likely until 2010.
President Bush conceded, "It's going to take awhile to work through the downturn."
Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson said the administration is concerned about the potential for additional home defaults and is exploring expanding a deal it brokered with mortgage lenders in the fall to include relief to people who borrowed at prime, conventional rates as well as those with subprime, adjustable-rate mortgages that were due to reset.
Countrywide stock was shaken when The New York Times reported accusations that the company had fabricated letters submitted in a court case involving a foreclosure in Pennsylvania.
At one point, the New York Stock Exchange temporarily halted trading in advance of a statement in which Countrywide tried to stem its share-price losses by issuing a statement denying rumors that a bankruptcy filing is imminent.
"There is no substance to the rumor that Countrywide is planning to file for bankruptcy, and we are not aware of any basis for the rumor that any of the major rating agencies are contemplating negative action relative to the company," the statement said.
When trading resumed, the shares rebounded somewhat, then slid again. They finished with a decline of $2.17, or 28.4 percent, to $5.47 after falling to an all-time low of $5.05 earlier in the day.
A rating analysis issued by Egan-Jones Ratings Co. suggested Countrywide "is severely challenged and might falter if it does not receive an infusion of at least $4 billion within the next couple of weeks."
The agency said the lender will need the funding to weather a steep decline in mortgage originations and its shift to less-profitable, nonsubprime lending.
Uneasy investors were hard-pressed to find reassurance elsewhere.
KB Home, one of the nation's largest builders, reported a fourth-quarter loss of $772.7 million, compared with a loss of $49.6 million in the year-ago period.
Its chief executive, Jeffrey Mezger, predicted that 2008 "will be another tough year for the home-building industry." He said consumer confidence must be restored before things can improve.
A trade group for real estate agents did strike a more optimistic outlook, predicting home sales will pick up significantly in the second half of the year.
The National Association of Realtors said its seasonally adjusted index of pending home sales fell 2.6 percent in November to 87.6, from October's upwardly revised index of 89.9.
"A meaningful recovery in existing-home sales could occur as early as this spring, or it may be further delayed toward late 2008," said Lawrence Yun, the group's chief economist.
In August, Charlotte, N.C.-based Bank of America acquired $2 billion worth of nonvoting, convertible preferred stock in Countrywide yielding 7.25 percent annually. The shares can be converted into common Countrywide stock at $18 a share, with certain restrictions.
If the bank converted its stock under Countrywide's current share price, it wouldn't come close to reclaiming its investment back.
Calabasas, Calif.-based Countrywide has reported a $1.2 billion loss in the third quarter of last year, but management forecast a profitable fourth quarter and 2008.
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