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The Bucs Will Win If ... The Saints Will Win If ...

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Published: November 30, 2008

The Bucs Will Win If ...

They can get to Drew Brees. He has been sacked only nine times this year, and as much as that sounds like a testament to the play of his offensive line, it's not. Brees seldom goes down, because he seldom waits more than a second or two to get rid of the ball. He is very hard to trap, but the Bucs can do it if they eliminate his escape routes and collapse the pocket around him. They might have to blitz to do it, but if the Bucs can sack Brees two or three times in this game, they can win it.

The Saints Will Win If ...

They can run for 100 yards or more. The Saints aren't a running team, but they do try to develop offensive balance. If they achieve that objective today and control the ball and the clock, they will beat the Bucs because their ability to run the ball will set them up for play-action passes and big plays. The Bucs usually make stopping the run their top objective. It's hard to do that against the Saints, but if they don't stop the run they will allow the Saints to dictate the play. That's a losing formula.

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