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Forecasters Keeping Eye On Pair Of Tropical Waves

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By NEIL JOHNSON | The Tampa Tribune

Published: October 12, 2008

Updated: 10/12/2008 11:46 am

TAMPA - Forecasters at the National Hurricane Center are watching a pair of tropical waves, one in the Caribbean Sea another in the Atlantic Ocean.

The hurricane center said the wave in the Atlantic that's about 1,600 miles east of the Caribbean has become better organized and could form a tropical depression.

However, environmental conditions don't favor much development beyond that and most intensity forecast models do not show the wave growing into a tropical storm.

The closest wave is about 240 miles west of the Windward Islands and heading to the northwest. The hurricane center says that wave has a 20 percent to 50 percent chance of developing, though it's not heading into an area that is favorable for development.

Forecast models for both waves are widely scattered.

In general, models for the closest wave have it moving north out of the Caribbean and into the Atlantic.
The most distant wave likely won't reach the Caribbean and will head north into the Atlantic.

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