A tropical wave about 1,000 miles from the eastern edge of the Caribbean Sea weakened during the day and it has only a small chance of becoming the season's first named storm.
It may not survive until Thursday.
Forecasters at the National Hurricane Center gave the area of low pressure a 10 percent chance to become the season's first tropical storm by Thursday. On Monday, the chances were 40 percent.
Forecast models project it moving to the west-northwest about 15 mph, possibly passing north of the Caribbean Sea by Thursday or Friday and north of Hispaniola by Sunday.
Over the next few days, the wave will be traveling into an area where winds high in the atmosphere are less favorable for it to develop into a named storm, forecasters said.
Almost no computer models that predict intensity had the wave growing into a tropical storm.
The tropical wave was battling the odds of becoming a storm. It is rare for a storm to form in the Atlantic Ocean this early in the hurricane season. Most storms this time of year form in the Gulf of Mexico or western Caribbean.
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