A tropical wave forecasters at the National Hurricane Center have tracked since the weekend became slightly more organized overnight as it slowed and took a more westerly track.
Forecasters at the hurricane center give it a 30 percent chance of becoming the season's first named storm - Alex - by Friday.
Beyond Friday, the wave could move into an area where upper level winds are more favorable for it to slowly develop as it moves to the west at about 10 mph, slightly slower and more to the west than it was moving on Tuesday.
The wave is south of Haiti with winds of not quite 30 mph.
Even if the wave doesn't develop into a named storm, it could have some impact on our local weather.
There is no hint from the models bringing the wave even close to Florida, but moisture spinning off the system will likely increase the amount of moisture over Florida and boost the chances for rain early next week.
A good number of the forecast models track the wave toward Mexico and across the Yucatan Peninsula later in the week and into the Gulf of Mexico by early next week.
A big question is whether the wave and its thunderstorms can survive a trek over the Yucatan.
Few of the intensity models project the wave bulking up into a tropical storm by Friday, which dovetails with the hurricane center's low expectation that it will show much development before the end of the week.
By the weekend, a number of the intensity models shift the wave to tropical storm strength and keep it there early next week.
Email
Facebook
Google
Twitter
Favorites
More
Advertisement
Advertisement